California Congressional District 16 Race and Anna Eshoo

With a suprised announcement on November 21,  Democrat Representative Anna Eschoo, 81, joined a dozen House Democrats opting to retire next year.  The race for this safe Democratic seat  occupied by her since 1992 will likely be fierce among the thirteen candidates, 11 Democrats and 2 Republicans.  

The California's 16th congressional district covers the Peninsula and South Bay cities including Palo Altos, Mountain View, Pacifica, Halfmoon Bay, Saratoga, Campbell, Los Altos, Los Gatos, and the southwestern part of San Jose. 

There are roughly 445,000 registered voters in the district with the breakddown of 20% Asian, 11% Hispanic and the rest is lumped into a voting demographic of non-Asian, non-Latino and non-Black.  Vietnamese-American voters make up about 6% of the total and they will likely play a significant role in the primary because of the  divided votes among the large number of candidates.  

The 2024 March  primary will determine which top two candidates will advance to the general election regardless of party's affiliation.  

Currently, due to just 7 weeks before the absentee ballot is available,  the three leading candidates with the most name recognition, connection and fundraising networks are Sam Liccardo, Evan Low and Joe Simitian. 

Sam Liccardo, 53, is the favorite to be in the runoff by virtual of being the former mayor of San Jose and roughly a third of the registered voters in the district live in San Jose.  His name recognition in the Vietnamese-American community is high and San Jose voters historically will vote  for San Jose candidates.  Within weeks of announcement, he has raised over $900,000.  His tenure as mayor is controversial with the city being fined heavily for non-compliance with transparency and open government rules and the spiral escalation of the homeless crisis.  

Joe Simitian, 70, has been waiting for Eshoo's seat for quite a while now and he has been raising money over the past decade and amassing a war chest of more than $700,000.  His name recognion in the Peninsula cities is substantial considering that he is currently the Santa Clara County supervisor, former state senator and Palo Alto mayor.  He is probably the most experience politician on issues and his liberal views fit with the district progressive bend.  His age might come into play but conventional wisdom is that most voters are more interested in getting things done in congress.  

Evan Low, 40,  is an openly gay state legislator serving since 2014 in a district that has a strong Chinese-American constituents.  So far, he has raised over $300,000 with a strong support of labor unions.  He has received endorsement from Rep. Rho Khanna and will like from Zoe Lofgren also.

The two wild cards that have remote ousider chance are Julie Lythcott-Haimes, an attorney who is current serving on the Palo Alto City Council, and Rishi Kumar, a former Saratoga City Councilmember and ran against Eshoo in the last two elections.  

The other candidates will capture the attention of voters but they are likely playing a role of spoilers.  However the two Republican candidates can sneak in since 16% of total voters are Repbulican and with this many Democratic candidates siphoning votes from each other, anything can happen.

At any rate, the current conventional wisdom predicts at this stage of the race,  Sam Liccardo will be one of the candidates in the runoff.   And if Evan Low can consolidate his Asian and Hispanic supporters, he has a good chance to break the likely needed 20% threshold to be in the general election.

Recall Alameda County DA Pamela Price

 

Since the start of Price recall in the first week of October, the leaders of the recall group, SAFE, are confident that they will gather more than 73,195 signatures to get the recall on the ballot by the end of November. The minimum signatures representing 15% of the entire vote cast for the last gubernatorial election are not due until mid-March, and it is a major hurdle in the process of having the recall placed on the ballot for the November General Election. Without saying, this is an astonishing feat considering the county comprises a large geography and diverse population.  

 Pamela Price, a civil rights attorney, won the seat of Alamed County DA over Terry Wiley, the county's chief deputy DA, in the November 2022 election.  She ran with a progressive platform of eliminating racialy inequity in the criminal legal system and providing alternative to incaceration focused on healing.

Within 3 mongths into her term, her critics started to blame  sky rocket increase in crime on her office's practice of not seeking maximum possible punishment for criminal defendants while removing 4 seasoned prosecutors and 2 police inspectors for political reasons.  Recent hiring of her boyfriend as Senior Program Specialist with no prior experience and not disclosing their relationship, has brought questions about her workplace ethics.  Antwon Cloird joined her team with a based salary of $115,502. 

Despite public pressure to change her criminal prosecution practice, she has refused to diverge from her own mandate of decriminalization and take the responsibility for a 30% or more surge in violent and non-violent crimes in Oakland.  To her the recall effort is lead by election deniers and run by outside special-interest groups supported by the right-wing agenda.

Save Alameda for Everyone (SAFE),  the Price recall committee has raised over $240,000 from individual and corporate sources so far.  A second recall committee, "Reviving the Bay Area", has additional funded SAFE over $385,000.  The principal members of the committee are Brenda Grisham, Philip Dreyfuss and Carl Chan.  Brenda's 17-year-old son was shot and killed in East Oakland outside their home in 2010.  

Carl Chan, President of the Oakland Chinatown Chamber of Commerce, was assaulted in 2021 by anti-Asian hate felon.  Philip Dreyfuss is a hedge fund investor at the SF-based Farallon Capital Management.  He resigned from SAFE and established  the "Reviving the Bay Area" committee.

Meanwhile, Price has raised about $15,000 to defeat the recall effort.  Clearly, the sentiment is against Price and the momentum is growing to gather 100,000 signatures to ensure the recall will be a success.  Recall organizers are being helped with hundreds of people from all over California volunteering to gather signatures, some came far away as San Diego and Sacramento.   If successfully being removed in 2024 by the will of the people, Price can take into comfort that she will be one of the two DA's ousted from their seats by recall in the last 2 years.  Remember San Francisco DA Chesa Boudin anyone?

Housing Choice Voucher Program in Orange County

 

From Supervisor Andrew Do: 

The Orange County Housing Authority (OCHA) will be opening the Housing Choice Voucher Program - Section 8 - waiting list and accepting applications beginning September 18, 2023, 8:00 a.m. PDT and ending September 29, 2023, 11:59 p.m. PDT.

To help residents who may not have access to a computer, lack transportation, or just need assistance submitting an application, I am hosting a 3-hour event at Mile Square Park next Monday where trained staff from Abrazar, Inc. and the Asian American Senior Citizens Service Center will help residents submit their applications electronically.

For thousands of people and families who have been waiting to apply for rental assistance, this comes as a welcome relief. With a housing voucher, individuals and families can choose their own housing that meet their needs, including single-family homes, townhomes, and apartments.

 PLEASE NOTE: Submitted applications are not considered on a first-come, first-served basis, and the timing of the application submittal has no bearing on the waiting list position or how soon an applicant may receive assistance. The waiting list will be limited to 12,000 applicants.

Santa Clara County D2 Board of Supervisors Race

In late February this year, at the Vietnamese American Business Association  (VABA) Anual Gala 2023 where over 800 guests enjoying their multi-course gourmet dinner and listening to speeches of  elected officials from Sacramento to Orange County,  one of the attention-grabbing buzzes  is the presence of Madison Nguyen and her hinting of a run for the soon to be vacant D2  Board of Supervisors seat. 

Conventional wisdom predicts that Madison Nguyen, former SJ city councilmember who has not been seen for the last 4 years with a rumor that she mostly lives in Nevada, will be one of the 3 or 4 Vietnamese-American candidates for this hotly contested seat.   Not to be outdone, the Latino community will have at least 3 or 4 candidates also. 

So who are the potential candidates and why D2 is so appealing?

District 2 after the 2022 redistricting to reflect the 2020 census was drawn with a heavy Latino population by the Board of Supervisors.  This is to counterbalance District 3 where the boundary was designed for an Asian majority.  The current Supervisor Cindy Chavez is termed out in 2024 and her chief staff,  Betty Duong, will officially anounce her candidacy this coming Sunday at her sister's coffee shop in downtown San Jose.

But not too be outdone, other potential candidates including ESHUSD Board Trustee Van Le and the newly elected SJ Councilmember Bien Doan also have expressed their interests.  

On the Latino side, rumors are picking up that former SJ Councilmembers Nora Campos, Maya Esparza and Magdalena Carrasco will be running.  

District 2 has about 176,000 registered voters.  The breakdown is 29% Asian, 35% Latino and 34% non-Latino, non-African American, and non-Asian.   Vietnamese-American registered voters make up 17% of the total.  This is not unexpected since D2 covers most of San Jose City D7, D5 and D3 where there are a lot of Vietnamese-American families. 

Madison Nguyen, if runs, will be a business friendly candidate while Betty Duong is loyal to Labor Union. This will make another interesting race where the two will be vying hard for their natural base, Vietnamese voters, as well as other voters in a very diverse demographic.