Monday, November 19, 2012

A lesson for Vietnamese-American Candidates in San Jose

The Vietnamese-American community in San Jose still felt cheated after the election as a lot of them were led to believe by Jimmy Nguyen's supporters that he would have a chance against the incumbent Rose Herrera. 

If it wasn't for Herrera running a terrible campaign and her husband getting caught stealing campaign signs,  Jimmy Nguyen would be trounced by wider margin instead of the 10% difference.

With roughly $500K spent on his behalf and with all the biggest names in San Jose politics campaigning for him, including Supervisor Dave Cortese (the dean of District 8 politics), Assemblywoman Nora Campos,  her brother San Jose Councilmember Xavier Campos and Labor Unions, everybody was predicting that the race would be much closer.

So what do we learn from this campaign?  A negative campaign that based on lies does not work, especially when the candidate is a newcomer with no ties in the community.   Spending $500K on mailers and other media  under the advise of high power consultant usually is a bad sign for a city council campaign, especially in a district of 100,000 people.   It was far excessive and it caused some people to vote against Nguyen out of disgust. 

Jimmy Nguyen was a good candidate but lacked the credibility to replace Rose Herrera.  People see him nothing but a pawn for other people's agenda.   He tried his best but his message was drown out by the negative campaign.  His campaign staff was inexperience and it showed in the end.  There were a lot of disappointed supporters who were also upset at the way they were treated by his campaign staff.  

To run for city council and this is only true for city council since the importance of knowing your community is heavily emphasized, the candidate does need to show that they are active within the district and know their neighborhoods.   This provides a foundation of local support that one will need to win a city council race.   Jimmy Nguyen needs to learn this lesson and keeps himself active if he is interested in running in 2016.

LSI does not see a Vietnamese-American candidate winning a major office in 2014 election in San Jose, especially if Cam Van Le and Tam Truong are on the collision course in District 7 to replace Madison Nguyen for the city council seat.  Nguyen meanwhile has nothing to lose so she will try her luck at running for mayor.  With practically no Vietnamese-American base, she will have a hard time getting past the primary.   Dave Cortese is getting his coaltion of Chinese-Americans, Vietnamese-Americans and Hispanics under his belt.   If he runs, it is just a question of can he get 50% + 1 in the primary or not.



 

For Tyler Diep - Decision, Decision?

It does not look good for Tyler Diep.   With a couple of days left before all the ballots counting are officially done,  Tyler Diep is still trailing Diana Carey by 213 ballots. 

What will he do?  He can ask for a recount but this will only delay the inevitable and it also makes him look less attractive for the city council to appoint him to replace the seat occupied by Frank Fry.

Diana Carey certainly would not want to have Tyler Diep on city council so that he could screw her with three Vietnamese-American votes.   Sergio Contreras got elected because of the huge endorsement and support of former Mayor Rice.  And she does not give a damn about Tyler Diep.

Whatever the case may be, this will go down as one of the biggest upsets in Little Saigon politics.  Granted Wesminter is a small town and city council seat is a part time position but it shows that Tyler Diep is vulnerable in the Vietnamese-American community.  

He is young and he can always come back but for him to step into a bigger political stage, he is not ready yet.




CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57


Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 11,710 25.8%
DIANA CAREY 8,995 19.8%
TYLER DIEP 8,782 19.4%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 7,720 17.0%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,930 6.5%
KHAI DAO 2,711 6.0%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,511 5.5%

Saturday, November 17, 2012

The Saga Continues for Tyler Diep and Diana Carey

With only a few hundred ballots left, does Tyler Diep have enough to catch up the 235 ballot deficit?



CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57


Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 11,408 25.9%
DIANA CAREY 8,758 19.8%
TYLER DIEP 8,535 19.3%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 7,501 17.0%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,885 6.5%
KHAI DAO 2,584 5.9%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,453 5.6%

Friday, November 16, 2012

Will Tyler Diep Ask for Recount?

With less than a thousand ballots left to count,  Tyler Diep is trailing Diana Carey by 258 votes.   The clock is about to strike at midnight for Diep.  What would he do?  It is understandable that he would lose the Sergio Contreras but to an unknown Diana Carey.  Even worst, he lost the seat as an incumbent.

On the bright side,  he is young, has a lot money,  so he can always bounce back 2 years from now.  However, by losing, he just opens doors to other Vietnamese-American candidates in 2014.








CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57


Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 11,324 25.9%
DIANA CAREY 8,703 19.9%
TYLER DIEP 8,445 19.3%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 7,432 17.0%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,868 6.6%
KHAI DAO 2,554 5.8%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,436 5.6%

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

300 Votes Separate Carey from Diep

With 2,600 ballots left to count,  the incumbent Tyler Diep is closing the gap on Diana Carey.   This race will go down to the wire with now only 300 votes separate the two candidates



CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57

Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 10,971 26.0%
DIANA CAREY 8,454 20.0%
TYLER DIEP 8,144 19.3%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 7,111 16.8%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,791 6.6%
KHAI DAO 2,422 5.7%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,361 5.6%

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Tyler Diep Lost City Council Race - A Shocker




With little more than four thousand ballots left,  the incumbent Tyler Diep (Diep Mien Truong)  is trailing Diana Carey by 650 votes.


The chances for him to pull out a last minute miracle is slim since his Vietnamese-American votes are being diluted with Charlie Nguyen and Khai Dao. In the last 5 days after the election, he hardly gains any ground against Carey.

If the trend holds, his lost would be an out of this world shocker for he is an incumbent with a loaded campaign chest of $150,000.   LSI could not remember when a last time an incumbent city council lost in Westminster.   But on the other, Tyler Diep probably knew he is not popular already when earlier this year he dropped out of the state assembly race in a district where Asian-Americans make up a strong voting bloc. 

This unexpected event then begs the question  whether he would be appointed by the city council to replace the seat left open by Tri Ta as he becomes the newly-elected mayor. 

Tri Ta owed his mayoral victory to the endorsement and support of the popular ex-Mayor Rice.  She went out of her way to not support Tyler Diep.

Just a pont of reference, the Vietnamese-American community in OC never really cares for Tyler Diep.  He is deemed to be controversial and arrogant, especially with the leaks on how he abused his seat to get special treatments.    It did not help that he was an underling of Van Tran, an ex-assemblyman who lost his congressional bid to Loretta Sanchez in 2008 in a landslide.

After Tran's defeat,  his "Gang of Seven"  lost their political leverage and saw their power and influence dwindle further in Little Saigon  due to infighting.   Andy Quach and Tyler Diep Truong denounced against each other publicly as they fought to protect their consulting businesses.  

Like most small cities, the city council job is a part time position.  They are allowed to operate consulting operation  to help business owners getting permits and other paperwork applications. 

Ta Duc Tri and Tyler Diep are still friends but they know that they will have to leverage their political capital wisely are else it will hurt both.



CITY OF WESTMINSTER Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 57 of 57


Vote Count Percentage
SERGIO CONTRERAS 10,407 26.3%
DIANA CAREY 8,128 20.5%
TYLER DIEP 7,478 18.9%
CHARLIE NGUYEN MANH CHI 6,446 16.3%
HELENA RUTKOWSKI 2,690 6.8%
AL P. KRIPPNER 2,273 5.7%
KHAI DAO 2,196 5.5%

Friday, November 9, 2012

Majority of Asian-Americans voted for Obama


http://www.mercurynews.com/presidentelect/ci_21949767/gop-challenge-looking-california-lessons-how-change

There is a myth that most Asian Americans tend to vote for Republican candidates.  Well, in the last two elections, the polls showed that they overwhelmingly voted for Democratic candidates to the tune of 64% and 79% respectively.   Being the fastest minority voting bloc, this is a troublesome sign for the future of the Republican party in a nation-wide election.   Hispanics actually have less affinity for Democratic candidates than Asian-Americans in the 2012 election.   They voted 74% (in 2008)  and 76% (in 2012) for Democratic candidates.

Viet Museum and History San Jose, IRCC Taking Action to Keep the Museum Open

 The Viet Museum located at History Park is one of the most important cultural institutions of the Vietnamese American community in San Jose...