Friday, October 16, 2020
With two weeks to go, the presidential election for the soul of America is on its final leg. The incumbent, President Donald Trump, has 4 years to prove that he can lead this nation in time of peace and crisis.
Mimicking the old playing book of former President Ronald Reagan " Let's Make America Great Again", Trump lost the general election by almost 2% (about 3 million) in 2016 but won key states that were traditionally Democrat. He dealt Hillary Clinton a crushing blow with a landslide in electoral votes, 232 to 306.
He won Wisconsin by 0.7%, Michigan by 0.3% (11,000 votes out of 5.1 million ballots cast) and Pennsylvania by 0.7%. If he had lost these three states, Clinton would have won, 278 to 260. The black turnout in Michigan and Pennsylvania felled more than 7%. In her new documentary, "To Become", Michelle Obama lamented: "...So the day I left the White House and wrote about how painful it was to sit on it [inauguration] step. Many of our people did not vote. It was almost like a slap in the face. "
So after 4 years of constant hard ball politics from the Oval Office and the privilege of a presiding president with a hard core and enthusiastic base of voters, the reality is settling in. LSI is seeing the following trends:
Barring anything extraordinary and Biden coming down with viral infection and cannot campaign accordingly, President Trump is in for a tough race. All national polling shows he is about 8% behind. But what about the key states that will ultimately determine the necessary electoral votes needed to win. Trump is trailing in Wisconsin by 11% , Michigan by 7% and Pennsylvania by 6%. These three states alone if Biden wins will give him 278 votes. This is with the assumption the blue states in 2016 will hold for Biden. The candidate only needs 270 votes to win.
What makes it more challenging is AZ is leaning for Biden and Florida is a dead heat. North Carolina, a bastion of Republican strong hold, is also up for grab.
The groups that Trump has relied on, white seniors and household women are not convinced he can provide the stability that the country needs. The Vietnamese American voters are the only Asian-American group that has shown strong support for him. But most are living in California and Trump is 31% behind in the state.
Trump's command of shrewd political tactics and his pop cultural understanding of the white's sentiments have propelled him into a historical president and presidency.
Whether the voters will allow him to continue, it will be decided on November 3rd and Las Vegas odds are against him for now. But for a man who filed bankruptcy 6 times in his career to wipe of his debts, he still has many tricks up his sleeve to file bankruptcy another time to run the table on Biden and wins his second term.
Tuesday, September 29, 2020
In 1996, California voters passed Proposition 209, a constitutional amendment banning affirmative action at state institutions. The law dictates that government agencies and universities cannot factor in someone's race, gender or ethnicity in making, hiring and admission decisions. For example, the county cannot set goals for how many contracts they can award to minority owned businesses. And universities cannot set quota for admission based on ethnic groups.
The US Supreme Court struck down on the use of quotas for university admissions in its 1978 Bakke case.
But if 2/3 of the voters approve Proposition 16 this coming November, a constitutional amendment will allow affirmative action at state institutions.
For Asian American families, the main argument is simply why their hard working, overachieving children can be denied the admission to the best public universities because of their race.
Whether this is myth or fact, there is enough mistrust of the educational system to guard itself and its proper interpretation of the laws that the opposition of this proposition is a serious movement in the Asian American communities.
Let the data speak for themselves and guide the debate:
No race or ethnic group constitutes a majority of California's population: 39% of state residents are Latino, 37% are white, 15% are Asian American, 6% are African American, 3% are multiracial, and fewer than 1% are American Indian or Pacific Islander, according to 2018 data.
In 2018, for California State University system, 41.5% of enrollment are Hispanic/Latino, 15.9% are Asian, 4% are African American, and 23% are white.
In 2019, the numbers are actually increased for Hispanic at 43%, decreased for white at 22.4% while stayed constant for Asian.
In 2018, 25% of enrollment are Hispanic/Latino in University of California system, 4% are African American, 20% are white and 35% are Asian American. The numbers are similar in 2019.
The California API Legislative Caucus voted for the ACA 5 measure to ask voters if they want to reinstate affirmative action policies.
Depending on your viewpoint but some people believe by allowing government agencies to make decision based on affirmative action can be a double-edged sword. When trying to make strides in diversity for diversity sake, the state can end up sacrificing merit for the sake of diversity. There is a fine balance between diversity, the elimination of structural racism and being given the opportunity equally based on merit and without prejudice based on race, ethnicity and sex.
The state has made tremendous strides in the last 50 years The proof is in a vibrant economy, strong multicultural social fabric and tolerance with great opportunities for immigrants and ethnic minorities.
The ultimate decision is at the hand of the voters and sometime too much of a good thing might not be enough.
Garden Grove City Councilman Phat T. Bui currently campaigns for Orange County Supervisor's First District. As a controversial and br...
Lan Diep draws first blood in his bid for D4 city council seat. He lost by 13 votes to Manh Nguyen less than a year ago in a special elec...
Last November, a Viet kieu in hi tech business finally settled down and married his long time girlfriend. It was a private wedding attend...
According to FHM, Kim Lee is one of the top 100 sexiest women in the world. She was born on May 22, 1988 in the US. Her mother is Viet...
. ... Its the circle of life All it moves us all Through despair and hope Through faith and love Till we find our place On pa...
Katsuni was born in 1979 and raised in Lyon, France. Her real name is Celine Joell Tran. Her dad is Vietnamese and her mother is Frenc...
With 10 days before the election, the supervisorial race for Orange County D1 is getting some actions. The Democratic Party and labor un...
Apparently after losing her state senatorial election in an upset last year, Janet Nguyen still could not let go of the fact that she is ...
For the last two weeks, LSI has been flooded with email from Scott Hung Pham about his campaign for the June 4 special election....