Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Scott Hung Pham Lost An Easy Chance to Be in the Run-Off

With all of  the precincts counted, here is the result of last night special supervisorial race for District 2 to replace the convicted Shirakawa.   About 18% of the registered voters went to the poll.

PATRICIA MARTINEZ-ROACH  1,362             7.05%
CINDY CHAVEZ                                         

6,036 31.25%

SCOTT HUNG PHAM 2,74714.22%
DAVID S. WALL 6083.15%
Total 19,316

In a district where Scott Pham calculated that there are about 20,000 Vietnamese-American registered voters, if he could get 35% of them to go to the poll and vote for him,  he could have been in the runoff due to the low overall turnout. 

But unfortunately,  he simply did not know how to run for office.  LSI could not even find his campaign website.  With his incapability to raise any money, he was doomed from the start. 

Cindy Chavez and Teresa Alvarado will now face each other.   With the overwhelming Vietnamese-American voters don't really care for Madison Nguyen,  her support of Alvarado will cause this crucial ethnic voting bloc to be of Cindy Chavez by default. 

Even though Chavez is not taking things for granted, she is reaching out to the Vietnamese-American community leaders by promising of hiring more Vietnamese-Amerians to opening positions in the county. 

LSI did an unofficial exist poll of Viet-American voters  last evening and 87% of them voted for Scott Hung Pham.   When asked the choice between Chavez and Alvarado,  49% said that they would vote for Chavez because Madison Nguyen supported Alvarado.   While 40% said they would not vote for either one of them since they have not done anything for the community.

We will wait and see what will happen in the runoff but it seems that the Nguyen's popularity or lack-off in her own district will doom Alvardo.  

Footnote:  Mercury News reported that  Chavez received 40% of the votes vs. 28% for Alvarado in Nguyen's District 7.  



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