Friday, November 25, 2016

Andrew Do Ahead in OC Supervisor D1 Race

More than two weeks after the election, the finally tally is almost done for the Supervisor D1 race.   This is a race where the  Democrat Party is hoping to take the seat back.  Lou Correa lost to Andrew Do by 43 votes in a special election in 2015.  After all, the district has 9% more registered Democrats than Republicans.  The Trump Factor also resulted in an unprecedented high Hispanic turnout.   In the primary, Santa Ana City Councilmember Michelle Martinez beat current Supervisor Andrew Do by almost 4%.

On Election Night, Do was leading by more than 10,000 votes.   Do's lead now has shrunk to 1,059 votes as a large number of ballots from Santa Ana came in.

Now with about 2,900 votes left to tally, mostly in Garden Grove, Fountain Valley and Westminster (ballots from the three Vietnamese-American strongholds), it is unlikely that Martinez will catch up.

The 2016 OC election results can be interpreted as this is either a once in a lifetime election cycle or a trend that will turn OC eventually Blue.

Supervisor 1st District
Completed Precincts: 209 of 209
Vote CountPercentage
* ANDREW DO74,79850.4%

Side Note: At State Senate level, Ling Ling Chang (R) is losing to Josh Newman (D) by 1,527 votes.   The trend is against her for the last two weeks in Orange County and LA County, the two county where more than 90% of the votes are.   If she lost, the Democrats will have supermajority in Senate as well as Assembly.

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